Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.1%). Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Grant 50.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 62.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 62.6%
Neutral zone
Grant 57.0%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Lizotte
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lizotte
Grant
Last 7: Lizotte 2-5 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Grant
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
4
Lizotte
Grant
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
54.5% (415)
-1.3%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
42.9% (14)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
41.6% (137)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Lizotte is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Lizotte shoots left. Grant is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Grant
Home
46.9% (177)
51.5% (266)
Away
54.8% (177)
50.7% (300)
By Period
Lizotte
Grant
P1
42.3%
48.3%
P2
51.8%
52.2%
P3
60.9%
52.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.8%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Derek Grant |