Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Brassard 52.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 63.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 67.3%
Neutral zone
Brassard 50.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Lizotte
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Lizotte
Brassard
Last 10: Lizotte 4-6 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
4
Lizotte
Brassard
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Brassard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Brassard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
53.3% (368)
-0.1%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
50.0% (62)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
40.0% (5)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Lizotte is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Lizotte shoots left. Brassard is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Brassard
Home
46.9% (177)
52.6% (247)
Away
54.8% (177)
52.7% (188)
By Period
Lizotte
Brassard
P1
42.3%
52.5%
P2
51.8%
56.6%
P3
60.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.8%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |