Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kolesar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Kolesar 47.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 54.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 76.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 60.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Lizotte
Kolesar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lizotte
Kolesar
Last 5: Lizotte 3-2 Kolesar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kolesar
0
1
Lizotte
Kolesar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Kolesar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Kolesar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
46.3% (134)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
0.0% (1)
+28.0%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Lizotte is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Lizotte shoots left. Kolesar is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Kolesar
Home
46.9% (177)
41.2% (51)
Away
54.8% (177)
48.8% (84)
By Period
Lizotte
Kolesar
P1
42.3%
50.0%
P2
51.8%
46.9%
P3
60.9%
38.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.8%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |