Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.8% vs Paquette 47.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 67.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 71.9%
Neutral zone
Paquette 54.3%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Wheeler
Paquette
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Wheeler
Paquette
Last 7: Wheeler 2-5 Paquette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
1
Wheeler
Paquette
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
0
1
Wheeler
Paquette
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
0
3
Wheeler
Paquette
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (294)
46.6% (474)
+1.7%
Power Play
34.0% (50)
0.0% (2)
+34.0%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (18)
56.5% (23)
-17.6%
On power play, Wheeler has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Wheeler is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Wheeler shoots right. Paquette is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Paquette
Home
50.8% (183)
50.2% (233)
Away
40.8% (179)
44.0% (266)
By Period
Wheeler
Paquette
P1
44.1%
42.0%
P2
48.7%
47.6%
P3
45.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
39.8%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |