Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Cozens 53.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 53.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 65.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 60.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Horvat
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Horvat
Cozens
Last 6: Horvat 4-2 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Horvat
Cozens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Cozens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
53.2% (634)
+2.2%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
57.7% (97)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
33.3% (6)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Horvat is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Horvat shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Horvat
Cozens
Home
59.0% (515)
54.8% (383)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.3% (354)
By Period
Horvat
Cozens
P1
59.6%
56.0%
P2
53.9%
51.2%
P3
56.2%
53.9%
OT
55.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |