Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Geekie 47.7% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 78.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 94.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 85.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 91.0%
91.0%
9.0%
Horvat
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Geekie
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Horvat
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Geekie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
46.7% (120)
+8.7%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
48.6% (35)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
0.0% (3)
+48.1%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Horvat is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Horvat shoots left. Geekie is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Horvat
Geekie
Home
59.0% (515)
46.8% (77)
Away
54.0% (544)
45.7% (81)
By Period
Horvat
Geekie
P1
59.6%
42.4%
P2
53.9%
49.1%
P3
56.2%
47.6%
OT
55.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
35.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |