Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Zacha 51.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 60.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 74.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Horvat
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Horvat
Zacha
Last 7: Horvat 5-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
53.0% (700)
+2.7%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
54.1% (109)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
39.2% (74)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Horvat
Zacha
Home
59.4% (537)
51.6% (438)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Horvat
Zacha
P1
59.9%
57.0%
P2
54.5%
48.9%
P3
56.1%
50.5%
OT
55.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
59.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |