Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Jenner 53.8% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 54.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 85.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 67.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Shaw
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Shaw
Jenner
Last 6: Shaw 4-2 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
0
Shaw
Jenner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
2
Shaw
Jenner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (299)
54.3% (923)
-8.5%
Power Play
54.5% (66)
57.4% (101)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
50.4% (133)
-8.3%
On even strength, Jenner has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Shaw is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Shaw shoots right. Jenner is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Shaw
Jenner
Home
50.0% (152)
54.1% (575)
Away
45.3% (232)
54.1% (582)
By Period
Shaw
Jenner
P1
44.8%
54.1%
P2
46.0%
53.1%
P3
50.4%
54.9%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |