Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.9%). Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 47 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Jenner 53.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 61-41 in 102 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 66.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 71.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 71.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Horvat
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
61
(102 meetings)
41
61
Horvat
Jenner
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
20
19
Horvat
Jenner
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
15
32
Horvat
Jenner
47 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
10
Horvat
Jenner
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,637)
54.5% (6,228)
-0.6%
Power Play
61.1% (2,711)
55.8% (1,148)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,497)
48.4% (1,001)
-1.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,730).
Horvat shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,209).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jenner
Home
56.1% (8,401)
54.5% (4,073)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
53.4% (4,304)
By Period
Horvat
Jenner
P1
54.1%
53.6%
P2
54.4%
53.6%
P3
55.0%
54.5%
OT
49.6%
54.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |