Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Staal 54.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Jenner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jenner
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
56.2% (989)
-4.9%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
66.0% (159)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
42.7% (253)
+7.3%
On power play, Staal has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Jenner
Staal
Home
52.7% (165)
55.4% (699)
Away
50.0% (144)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Jenner
Staal
P1
49.0%
55.7%
P2
45.0%
54.7%
P3
59.5%
53.4%
Final 5 min
55.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |