Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Jankowski 53.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 67.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 59.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 60.5%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Jenner
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Jenner
Jankowski
Last 7: Jenner 6-1 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Jenner
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
0
Jenner
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
53.7% (555)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
50.0% (14)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
54.3% (46)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Jenner
Jankowski
Home
52.7% (165)
53.2% (331)
Away
50.0% (144)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Jenner
Jankowski
P1
49.0%
52.7%
P2
45.0%
55.8%
P3
59.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |