Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Couturier 53.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 56.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 84.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 68.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Jenner
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Jenner
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
53.9% (792)
-2.6%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
62.9% (70)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
51.3% (234)
-1.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Jenner
Couturier
Home
52.7% (165)
51.4% (541)
Away
50.0% (144)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Jenner
Couturier
P1
49.0%
56.0%
P2
45.0%
52.6%
P3
59.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |