Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 54.9%). Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.5% vs Rask 54.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 69.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 61.3%
Neutral zone
Rask 60.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Jenner
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Jenner
Rask
Last 6: Jenner 4-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Jenner
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
0
Jenner
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (374)
54.5% (628)
+3.3%
Power Play
55.4% (56)
58.0% (88)
-2.6%
On even strength, Jenner has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Jenner is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Jenner shoots left. Rask is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Jenner
Rask
Home
53.6% (239)
58.0% (355)
Away
57.4% (244)
51.8% (361)
By Period
Jenner
Rask
P1
56.6%
54.5%
P2
56.6%
56.3%
P3
53.6%
54.2%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
55.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |