Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gordon wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 57.0% vs Connolly 46.3% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 88.7%
Defensive zone
Connolly 52.3%
Neutral zone
Connolly 75.2%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 81.6%
18.4%
81.6%
Gordon
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gordon
Connolly
Last 7: Gordon 2-5 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
5
Gordon
Connolly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Connolly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Connolly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (514)
47.0% (702)
+11.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
49.7% (165)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (179)
29.9% (97)
+27.6%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Gordon is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Gordon shoots right. Connolly is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Gordon
Connolly
Home
57.7% (366)
46.7% (512)
Away
58.4% (353)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Gordon
Connolly
P1
59.3%
46.5%
P2
54.5%
47.5%
P3
60.5%
44.0%
OT
50.0%
40.9%
Final 5 min
58.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |