Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.1% vs Girgensons 44.1% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 57.3%
Defensive zone
Gordon 85.5%
Neutral zone
Gordon 74.6%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Gordon
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gordon
Girgensons
Last 5: Gordon 3-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
2
Gordon
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
0
Gordon
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (1,044)
42.5% (181)
+17.0%
Power Play
65.0% (100)
62.5% (8)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (348)
35.3% (51)
+9.8%
On even strength, Gordon has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Gordon is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (971).
Gordon shoots right. Girgensons is 30.8% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Gordon
Girgensons
Home
58.7% (692)
43.1% (144)
Away
54.6% (800)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Gordon
Girgensons
P1
57.4%
39.2%
P2
55.2%
42.5%
P3
57.8%
44.0%
OT
28.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.5%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |