Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Richards 50.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 63.2%
Defensive zone
Shaw 58.7%
Neutral zone
Shaw 60.7%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Shaw
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Shaw
Richards
Last 7: Shaw 1-6 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Richards
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
2
Shaw
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
3
Shaw
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
50.4% (4,561)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
51.0% (512)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
41.3% (92)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Home / Away
Shaw
Richards
Home
50.3% (1,812)
51.1% (2,671)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
49.5% (2,512)
By Period
Shaw
Richards
P1
48.5%
49.6%
P2
47.9%
50.3%
P3
48.2%
51.0%
OT
41.9%
50.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Brad Richards |