Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — O'Brien shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs O'Brien 48.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 84.5%
Defensive zone
Richards 60.4%
Neutral zone
Richards 69.0%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Richards
O'Brien
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Richards
O'Brien
Last 6: Richards 5-1 O'Brien
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
O'Brien
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
O'Brien
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
O'Brien
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
O'Brien
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
48.9% (180)
+2.8%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
40.0% (5)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
44.8% (67)
+6.6%
On power play, Richards has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Brien shoots right. Richards is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Richards shoots left. O'Brien is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Richards
O'Brien
Home
52.2% (668)
46.8% (139)
Away
51.4% (648)
47.9% (117)
By Period
Richards
O'Brien
P1
50.1%
51.6%
P2
52.4%
46.1%
P3
52.9%
41.9%
OT
52.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |