Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stafford shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Stafford 48.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.2%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 64.0%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 58.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Tkachuk
Stafford
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tkachuk
Stafford
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Stafford
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Stafford
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
50.1% (571)
-1.2%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
49.2% (189)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
34.2% (79)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stafford shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,232).
Tkachuk shoots left. Stafford is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Stafford
Home
50.7% (1,435)
50.4% (452)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
45.9% (388)
By Period
Tkachuk
Stafford
P1
49.4%
50.0%
P2
51.3%
47.5%
P3
49.1%
47.9%
OT
55.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |