Scouting Report
Alex Iafallo holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Iafallo wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hagel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iafallo 45.1% vs Hagel 40.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iafallo 57.1%
Defensive zone
Iafallo 71.2%
Neutral zone
Iafallo 55.2%
Result
Alex Iafallo favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Iafallo
Hagel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Iafallo
Hagel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Iafallo
1
0
Iafallo
Hagel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iafallo
Hagel
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (180)
37.0% (246)
+3.6%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
48.0% (25)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
30.6% (36)
+17.5%
On power play, Iafallo has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hagel shoots left. Iafallo is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Iafallo shoots left. Hagel is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Iafallo
Hagel
Home
45.5% (110)
38.4% (159)
Away
40.0% (105)
35.8% (148)
By Period
Iafallo
Hagel
P1
40.2%
35.7%
P2
46.6%
34.9%
P3
40.7%
40.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
28.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iafallo
44.0%▲
41.0%
42.8%
Hagel
42.0%▲
37.5%
37.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Alex Iafallo |