Brandon Hagel vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Hagel wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hagel 46.3% vs McMichael 43.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 50.9%
Defensive zone
McMichael 68.0%
Neutral zone
Hagel 51.3%
Result
Brandon Hagel favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Hagel
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hagel
McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Hagel
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hagel
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (40)
42.9% (408)
+4.6%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
49.1% (55)
-32.4%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
39.0% (105)
-7.7%
On power play, McMichael has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Hagel is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Hagel shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Hagel
McMichael
Home
45.0% (40)
43.0% (298)
Away
31.8% (22)
42.6% (270)
By Period
Hagel
McMichael
P1
35.0%
46.6%
P2
42.1%
40.8%
P3
43.5%
41.8%
Final 5 min
30.0%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hagel
42.0%▲
37.5%
40.3%
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |