Brandon Hagel vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brandon Hagel holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Hagel wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hagel 48.3% vs McMichael 44.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 59.5%
Defensive zone
McMichael 66.6%
Neutral zone
McMichael 56.6%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Hagel
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hagel
McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Hagel
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hagel
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (31)
42.8% (367)
+8.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
51.0% (49)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
38.9% (72)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, McMichael has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Hagel is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Hagel shoots left. McMichael is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Hagel
McMichael
Home
50.0% (28)
43.4% (267)
Away
35.3% (17)
42.5% (221)
By Period
Hagel
McMichael
P1
37.5%
46.2%
P2
66.7%
41.3%
P3
40.0%
42.3%
Final 5 min
28.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hagel
44.0%▲
37.0%
44.4%
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |