Scouting Report
Craig Smith holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Hagel wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hagel 40.3% vs Smith 41.2% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Smith 70.8%
Defensive zone
Hagel 62.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.6%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Hagel
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hagel
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
37.0% (246)
40.8% (1,023)
-3.8%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
39.4% (198)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
44.4% (9)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Hagel is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hagel shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Home / Away
Hagel
Smith
Home
38.4% (159)
42.3% (556)
Away
35.8% (148)
39.1% (675)
By Period
Hagel
Smith
P1
35.7%
39.0%
P2
34.9%
42.1%
P3
40.9%
40.2%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
28.8%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hagel
42.0%▲
37.5%
37.1%
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%