Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Point 47.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 54.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 93.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 83.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Lowry
Point
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Point
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Point
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Point
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Point
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Point
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
45.9% (453)
+9.8%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
50.0% (108)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
20.0% (5)
+19.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Lowry
Point
Home
54.3% (429)
46.6% (264)
Away
53.5% (385)
46.4% (302)
By Period
Lowry
Point
P1
53.1%
46.3%
P2
55.2%
45.5%
P3
54.4%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |