Brayden Point vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs McMichael 43.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 61.8%
Defensive zone
McMichael 82.2%
Neutral zone
McMichael 58.9%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Point
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Point
McMichael
Last 6: Point 2-4 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Point
McMichael
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Point
McMichael
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Point
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
42.9% (408)
+3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
49.1% (55)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
39.0% (105)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, McMichael has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. McMichael is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Point
McMichael
Home
46.6% (264)
43.0% (298)
Away
46.4% (302)
42.6% (270)
By Period
Point
McMichael
P1
46.3%
46.6%
P2
45.5%
40.8%
P3
48.6%
41.8%
Final 5 min
45.7%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |