Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Hughes 39.5% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 61.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 58.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 63.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Point
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Point
Hughes
Last 6: Point 2-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
4
Point
Hughes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
36.7% (305)
+9.2%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
14.3% (7)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
33.3% (6)
-13.3%
On power play, Point has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Point
Hughes
Home
46.6% (264)
35.8% (159)
Away
46.4% (302)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Point
Hughes
P1
46.3%
42.3%
P2
45.5%
28.2%
P3
48.6%
37.2%
Final 5 min
45.7%
27.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |