Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.1% vs McBain 50.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 72.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 54.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 65.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Schenn
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schenn
McBain
Last 5: Schenn 4-1 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
1
Schenn
McBain
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (643)
52.5% (569)
-1.2%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
42.1% (19)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
36.2% (47)
+30.5%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Schenn is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Schenn shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Schenn
McBain
Home
53.6% (399)
52.4% (309)
Away
53.3% (375)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Schenn
McBain
P1
48.9%
54.0%
P2
52.1%
52.7%
P3
58.2%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.0%
53.5%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |