Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Donato 47.1% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 50.2%
Defensive zone
Donato 51.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 51.1%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Schenn
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Schenn
Donato
Last 10: Schenn 5-5 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
Donato
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
4
Schenn
Donato
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
46.8% (297)
+4.7%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
41.0% (39)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Schenn is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Schenn shoots left. Donato is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Schenn
Donato
Home
53.9% (412)
45.8% (142)
Away
53.3% (375)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Schenn
Donato
P1
49.6%
49.5%
P2
52.0%
45.7%
P3
58.1%
43.4%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |