Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Hartman 45.6% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 64.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 59.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 66.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Schenn
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Schenn
Hartman
Last 6: Schenn 2-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Schenn
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Schenn
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
45.1% (874)
+6.4%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
47.4% (95)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
37.5% (16)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Schenn is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Schenn shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Schenn
Hartman
Home
53.9% (412)
45.0% (515)
Away
53.3% (375)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Schenn
Hartman
P1
49.6%
47.3%
P2
52.0%
40.1%
P3
58.1%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |