Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Johnston 48.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 89.4%
Defensive zone
Schenn 81.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 87.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Schenn
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Schenn
Johnston
Last 8: Schenn 8-0 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
47.3% (666)
+4.2%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
50.7% (69)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
51.4% (35)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Schenn is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Schenn shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johnston
Home
53.9% (412)
47.5% (364)
Away
53.3% (375)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Schenn
Johnston
P1
49.6%
49.4%
P2
52.0%
46.9%
P3
58.1%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |