Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 49.2% vs Howden 52.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 64.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 52.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 57.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Gaunce
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gaunce
Howden
Last 5: Gaunce 3-2 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaunce
Howden
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Howden
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (74)
53.4% (459)
-4.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
40.0% (5)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
48.1% (52)
-14.8%
On power play, Gaunce has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Gaunce is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Gaunce shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Howden
Home
45.8% (48)
48.8% (258)
Away
51.5% (33)
56.6% (258)
By Period
Gaunce
Howden
P1
48.1%
54.0%
P2
37.0%
53.2%
P3
59.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
42.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
48.1%
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |