Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Ward 48.4% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Howden 51.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 50.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 51.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Howden
Ward
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,921)
51.3% (1,186)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
53.4% (238)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
35.5% (366)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Howden
Ward
Home
48.2% (1,625)
50.3% (870)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Howden
Ward
P1
49.4%
47.6%
P2
47.9%
47.5%
P3
49.8%
50.3%
OT
35.5%
30.8%
Final 5 min
48.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
42.0%▼
45.0%
48.9%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%