Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.7% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 67.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 87.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 77.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Howden
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Howden
Draisaitl
Last 5: Howden 1-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
4
Howden
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (397)
55.9% (835)
-6.3%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
61.8% (228)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
50.0% (40)
-2.9%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Howden is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Howden shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Howden
Draisaitl
Home
46.2% (212)
55.1% (508)
Away
52.7% (237)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Howden
Draisaitl
P1
50.7%
55.8%
P2
51.9%
55.7%
P3
48.5%
59.0%
OT
26.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
42.0%▼
45.0%
49.7%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |