Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 81.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 54.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 55.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Howden
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Howden
Scheifele
Last 6: Howden 2-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
3
Howden
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Howden
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
46.5% (919)
+3.3%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
48.7% (187)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
50.0% (54)
-2.9%
On power play, Howden has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Howden
Scheifele
Home
46.5% (217)
46.6% (605)
Away
52.7% (237)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Howden
Scheifele
P1
51.4%
52.3%
P2
51.6%
45.3%
P3
48.5%
43.9%
OT
26.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Brett Howden |