Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.7% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 85.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 82.4%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 78.5%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 84.6%
15.4%
84.6%
Howden
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Howden
Trocheck
Last 7: Howden 5-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
2
Howden
Trocheck
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (397)
58.0% (666)
-8.4%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
64.8% (165)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
43.4% (152)
+3.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Howden
Trocheck
Home
46.2% (212)
55.3% (436)
Away
52.7% (237)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Howden
Trocheck
P1
50.7%
56.4%
P2
51.9%
58.7%
P3
48.5%
55.5%
OT
26.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
42.0%▼
45.0%
49.7%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Brett Howden |