Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.5% vs Boyle 51.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 61.0%
Defensive zone
Boyle 57.3%
Neutral zone
Sutter 59.6%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Sutter
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Sutter
Boyle
Last 8: Sutter 6-2 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
4
1
Sutter
Boyle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
Boyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,005)
52.5% (931)
-0.9%
Power Play
36.5% (52)
56.3% (64)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (211)
46.4% (209)
+2.4%
On power play, Boyle has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Sutter shoots right. Boyle is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Sutter
Boyle
Home
49.3% (663)
54.3% (595)
Away
51.7% (632)
49.4% (620)
By Period
Sutter
Boyle
P1
48.0%
54.2%
P2
50.4%
50.0%
P3
53.4%
51.3%
OT
38.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.5%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |