Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.3%). Look for Boyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.4% vs Carpenter 50.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 67.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 59.2%
Neutral zone
Boyle 50.0%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Boyle
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boyle
Carpenter
Last 5: Boyle 3-2 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (667)
48.4% (314)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.6% (124)
60.0% (5)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (41)
57.0% (79)
-3.3%
On power play, Carpenter has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Boyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Boyle shoots left. Carpenter is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Boyle
Carpenter
Home
52.9% (391)
55.8% (197)
Away
48.3% (441)
44.8% (201)
By Period
Boyle
Carpenter
P1
48.9%
48.3%
P2
50.6%
47.8%
P3
51.2%
54.6%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |