Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +21.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 55.1% vs Gionta 38.2% (+21.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 67.0%
Defensive zone
Gionta 56.9%
Neutral zone
Gionta 66.9%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Boyle
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Boyle
Gionta
Last 6: Boyle 2-4 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
2
Boyle
Gionta
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
1
Boyle
Gionta
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (287)
35.5% (335)
+20.2%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
66.7% (3)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (71)
30.8% (52)
+32.6%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Boyle is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Boyle shoots left. Gionta is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Boyle
Gionta
Home
58.5% (205)
34.9% (186)
Away
54.0% (176)
35.3% (204)
By Period
Boyle
Gionta
P1
60.0%
32.5%
P2
54.9%
29.7%
P3
55.3%
42.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
56.4%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |