Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Flynn wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Lazar 48.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 61.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 53.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 63.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Flynn
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Flynn
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
0
Flynn
Lazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Flynn
Lazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
49.8% (2,623)
+0.4%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
52.3% (65)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
41.7% (410)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Flynn has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Flynn is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Flynn shoots right. Lazar is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Flynn
Lazar
Home
50.8% (661)
50.0% (1,541)
Away
48.8% (642)
47.6% (1,557)
By Period
Flynn
Lazar
P1
47.3%
48.4%
P2
51.8%
48.8%
P3
50.0%
49.1%
OT
58.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |