Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.7% vs 41.5%). Gionta wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 42.0% vs Marner 42.7% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Marner 51.6%
Defensive zone
Marner 50.7%
Neutral zone
Marner 50.2%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Gionta
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
41.7% (496)
-5.0%
Power Play
53.7% (162)
55.6% (18)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (135)
35.4% (65)
-1.3%
On even strength, Marner has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Gionta is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Gionta shoots right. Marner is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Gionta
Marner
Home
40.4% (307)
38.0% (321)
Away
41.0% (295)
45.7% (258)
By Period
Gionta
Marner
P1
37.7%
38.7%
P2
42.9%
41.5%
P3
40.7%
45.5%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
35.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.7%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%