Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.4% vs Richards 49.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 72.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 54.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 65.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Nelson
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Nelson
Richards
Last 8: Nelson 2-6 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Nelson
Richards
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
2
Nelson
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Nelson
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (347)
49.7% (352)
-0.1%
Power Play
20.8% (24)
42.9% (7)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
49.1% (116)
+3.8%
On power play, Richards has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Nelson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Nelson shoots left. Richards is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Nelson
Richards
Home
52.9% (210)
49.4% (247)
Away
42.1% (178)
49.6% (228)
By Period
Nelson
Richards
P1
43.9%
53.8%
P2
48.1%
47.7%
P3
53.1%
47.3%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
47.9%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Mike Richards |