Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.2% vs Spezza 54.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 54.2%
Defensive zone
Little 79.1%
Neutral zone
Little 60.3%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Little
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Little
Spezza
Last 7: Little 1-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Little
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Little
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
4
Little
Spezza
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (895)
53.2% (763)
-2.6%
Power Play
61.6% (216)
60.9% (197)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (203)
57.1% (21)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Little is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Little shoots right. Spezza is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Little
Spezza
Home
51.6% (628)
57.5% (518)
Away
51.0% (686)
51.8% (463)
By Period
Little
Spezza
P1
52.0%
55.4%
P2
49.3%
54.1%
P3
53.0%
55.5%
OT
38.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.3%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 10:32 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |