Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.1% vs Gourde 48.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 73.4%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 73.5%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 64.2%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Soderberg
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Soderberg
Gourde
Last 9: Soderberg 7-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
1
Soderberg
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
0
Soderberg
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
1
Soderberg
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (296)
49.0% (557)
+2.4%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
65.9% (44)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
29.2% (48)
+27.5%
On penalty kill, Soderberg has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Soderberg is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Soderberg shoots left. Gourde is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Gourde
Home
53.2% (190)
49.0% (314)
Away
49.8% (201)
48.4% (335)
By Period
Soderberg
Gourde
P1
48.6%
54.0%
P2
53.3%
44.6%
P3
51.0%
48.4%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.4%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |