Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Cizikas 54.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 76.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 59.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 57.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Lowry
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Cizikas
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Lowry
Cizikas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Cizikas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
56.4% (576)
-2.7%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
50.0% (2)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
33.3% (33)
+9.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Lowry
Cizikas
Home
53.0% (583)
55.4% (303)
Away
50.6% (605)
54.9% (308)
By Period
Lowry
Cizikas
P1
52.1%
53.0%
P2
51.8%
56.0%
P3
52.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.8%
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |