Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Cizikas 49.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 83.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 71.5%
Neutral zone
Shaw 65.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Shaw
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Shaw
Cizikas
Last 5: Shaw 1-4 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Cizikas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
3
Shaw
Cizikas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Shaw
Cizikas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (299)
49.9% (815)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.5% (66)
60.0% (10)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
44.7% (188)
-2.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Shaw is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Shaw shoots right. Cizikas is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Shaw
Cizikas
Home
50.0% (152)
49.3% (477)
Away
45.3% (232)
48.9% (536)
By Period
Shaw
Cizikas
P1
44.8%
49.3%
P2
46.0%
51.5%
P3
50.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:28 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |