Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.1% vs Malkin 46.1% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 59.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 90.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 86.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Cizikas
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cizikas
Malkin
Last 6: Cizikas 4-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (554)
45.7% (219)
+9.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
34.6% (26)
+65.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +65.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Cizikas shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Malkin
Home
54.8% (301)
50.4% (113)
Away
54.8% (299)
39.4% (132)
By Period
Cizikas
Malkin
P1
58.7%
47.7%
P2
56.1%
44.9%
P3
50.5%
40.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |