Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs Eller 55.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 61.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 59.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Cizikas
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Cizikas
Eller
Last 8: Cizikas 6-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
2
Cizikas
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
56.0% (459)
-1.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
77.8% (9)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
51.9% (54)
-5.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Cizikas is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Cizikas shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Eller
Home
54.3% (291)
52.6% (215)
Away
54.8% (299)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Cizikas
Eller
P1
58.3%
54.1%
P2
56.4%
57.6%
P3
49.8%
56.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |