Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs Krebs 45.4% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 84.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 85.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 91.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Cizikas
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cizikas
Krebs
Last 5: Cizikas 4-1 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
44.4% (403)
+10.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
33.3% (6)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
45.0% (20)
+1.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Cizikas is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Cizikas shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Krebs
Home
54.3% (291)
46.3% (205)
Away
54.8% (299)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Cizikas
Krebs
P1
58.3%
47.0%
P2
56.4%
45.4%
P3
49.8%
40.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |