Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Helenius shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs Helenius 46.7% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 73.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 63.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 64.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Cizikas
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cizikas
Helenius
Last 5: Cizikas 3-2 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Helenius
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Cizikas
Helenius
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
45.8% (212)
+9.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
25.0% (4)
+21.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Cizikas is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Cizikas shoots left. Helenius is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Helenius
Home
54.3% (291)
46.2% (104)
Away
54.8% (299)
44.2% (113)
By Period
Cizikas
Helenius
P1
58.3%
51.3%
P2
56.4%
38.6%
P3
49.8%
44.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
Helenius
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |