Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.9% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 61.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 72.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Cizikas
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Kuraly
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Cizikas
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (544)
52.6% (464)
+2.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
46.5% (155)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Cizikas is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Cizikas shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Kuraly
Home
54.3% (291)
55.9% (322)
Away
54.8% (299)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Cizikas
Kuraly
P1
58.3%
55.9%
P2
56.4%
46.7%
P3
49.8%
50.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.6%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |