Brayden Point vs Casey Mittelstadt
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Mittelstadt 50.5% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.9%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 74.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 53.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Point
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Point
Mittelstadt
Last 5: Point 4-1 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Mittelstadt
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Mittelstadt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
49.6% (141)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
54.8% (31)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-80.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Point
Mittelstadt
Home
46.6% (264)
58.7% (92)
Away
46.4% (302)
42.0% (81)
By Period
Point
Mittelstadt
P1
46.3%
47.7%
P2
45.5%
48.2%
P3
48.6%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |