Casey Mittelstadt vs Elias Pettersson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 46.0%). Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Pettersson 46.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 54.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 56.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
12
(26 meetings)
14
12
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Last 10: Mittelstadt 5-5 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
8
4
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
4
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
4
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,924)
45.4% (4,596)
-0.4%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
54.4% (553)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
38.2% (241)
-0.7%
On power play, Pettersson has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,632).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
Home
46.7% (2,317)
46.8% (2,757)
Away
44.3% (2,369)
45.2% (2,633)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Pettersson
P1
46.7%
44.8%
P2
46.1%
46.1%
P3
44.0%
47.4%
OT
36.6%
39.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Pettersson
50.0%▼
53.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |